PRE-PUBLICATION DRAFT — Facts have been rechecked, but Missouri sponsor-identification requirements are still being confirmed. Please do not redistribute yet.
Independent voter guide — not an official ballot or county publication. No candidate, campaign, committee, or government office paid for, provided, or approved any part of it. Ballot wording is reproduced from the Butler County Clerk's own published sample ballot; verify anything here at 573-686-8050.
Butler County, Missouri · Primary Election
What you're actually voting on
Four constitutional amendments, an East Carter school tax question for voters in that district, and up to thirteen Republican candidate races, depending on precinct. Read from the county's own ballot, not from the ads.
Tuesday, August 4, 2026Polls 6:00 am – 7:00 pmClerk: 573-686-8050
The short version
Three things matter on this ballot
Amendment 5 phases out the state income tax and lets the legislature expand sales taxes to replace it. It is a one-way door — once the income tax is gone, the constitution would forbid bringing it back.
Amendment 4 makes it much harder for citizens to amend the constitution by petition, while leaving the legislature's own path untouched.
Local contests depend on your precinct. Voters in the 152nd District have contested races for state representative and recorder of deeds; voters in the 150th District have the recorder contest, while their state-representative candidate is unopposed in the Republican primary.
A court had to rewrite the ballot wording on both Amendment 4 and Amendment 5, because judges ruled the legislature's own language failed to tell voters what the measures do.
That is not an opinion. It happened twice, in 2026, and it's a matter of public record. Links are at the bottom.
Step one
Which ballot do you ask for?
Missouri has an open primary. You may choose any party's ballot regardless of the optional party affiliation recorded with your voter registration, or request a nonpartisan issues ballot. Your ballot choice and recorded affiliation can appear in voter records; choosing a ballot does not enroll you in a private party organization.
Ballot
What you get to vote on
Republican
All 4 amendments + federal, state and county candidate races + East Carter levy if applicable
Democratic
All 4 amendments + federal and state candidate races + East Carter levy if applicable. No county candidates.
Libertarian
All 4 amendments + 2 candidate races (state auditor and U.S. House) + East Carter levy if applicable
Nonpartisan
All 4 amendments + East Carter levy if applicable. No candidates.
Two things most people don't know
You can vote on all four amendments without picking a party. Ask for the non-partisan ballot. It exists and nobody advertises it.
The Republican primary is likely to be decisive for Butler County offices. No Democrat filed for a county position. As of July 26, those races have no listed major-party opponent, but the independent-candidate filing deadline is July 27 and the general-election write-in declaration deadline is October 23. A different primary ballot means you will not vote in the Republican county contests on August 4.
That's the real tradeoff. Decide it before you're standing at the table.
1Constitutional Amendment
Parks, soil & water sales tax
Constitutional Amendment No. 1
Proposed by Article IV, Section 47(c) (Second Regular Session) SJR No. 1
Shall Missouri continue for 10 years the one-tenth of one percent sales/use tax that is used for soil and water conservation and for state parks and historic sites, and resubmit this tax to the voters for approval in 10 years?
The measure allows continued collection of the existing sales and use tax, which generates revenue of approximately $140 million annually.
YESNO
Exact text as printed on the Butler County ballot.
In plain English
This renews a tax that already exists. It is not a new one. A tenth of a penny on the dollar, on the books since the 1980s, and the constitution requires it be sent back to voters every ten years — which is the only reason it's here.
Raises about $140 million a year, split between state parks and soil-and-water conservation
Provided 75% of the state parks division's revenue in 2025
If it fails, it expires in 2028
Passed with 80% approval in 2016
The case for
It's already in your prices and has been for forty years — voting yes changes nothing about what you pay. It keeps state park admission free and funds soil and water conservation, which in a farming region isn't an abstraction. Without it, parks compete for general revenue, which allocated all of $214,970 to state parks in fiscal 2027. That's not a funding plan.
The case against
It's still a tax, and a sales tax at that — you pay it whether you ever set foot in a state park or not. A ten-year automatic renewal cycle means it gets very little scrutiny. If you think government should fund parks out of what it already collects, this is where you say so.
The catch
There isn't much of one in the sources reviewed. Unlike Amendments 2, 4 and 5, this was not referred by the General Assembly. "Proposed by Article IV, Section 47(c)" means the constitution automatically returns the tax to voters every ten years.
2Constitutional Amendment
Elected assessors in charter counties
Constitutional Amendment No. 2
Proposed by 103rd General Assembly (First Regular Session) HCS HJR Nos. 23 & 3
Shall the Missouri Constitution be amended to:
• require all charter counties, including Jackson County, to provide for the election of a county assessor; and
• require assessors in all charter counties to comply with any training requirements established by general law?
State and local governmental entities estimate no costs or savings.
YESNO
In plain English
This does not affect Butler County. Butler is not a charter county — we already elect our assessor, as do the vast majority of Missouri counties.
Exactly one county in Missouri appoints rather than elects its assessor: Jackson County (Kansas City). After an assessment scandal there that ended with the county executive being recalled, Jackson County voters already voted 88% in favor of electing theirs. This writes the same fix into the state constitution.
The case for
Officials who set the value of your home should answer to you at the ballot box. Straightforward accountability, and the affected county's own voters overwhelmingly agree.
The case against
Appointed assessors can be hired for technical competence rather than popularity, and assessment is a technical job. There's also a fair objection to the whole state voting on one county's internal structure.
The catch
This directly changes Jackson County's assessor system and does not change Butler County's current elected-assessor structure. For a Butler County voter, the choice is mainly whether that rule should be placed in the state constitution.
Where's Amendment 3?
Your ballot jumps from 2 to 4. That's not a misprint. Amendment 3 was placed on the November general election ballot instead. It would repeal the 2024 reproductive-health amendment, permit abortion restrictions with enumerated exceptions, regulate providers and consent, and prohibit gender-transition procedures for minors. It is not on the August ballot.
4Constitutional Amendment
Making it harder to amend the constitution by petition
Constitutional Amendment No. 4
Proposed by 103rd General Assembly (Second Extraordinary Session) HCS HJR No. 3
Shall the Missouri Constitution be amended to:
• Modify current requirements that a statewide majority of voters may approve initiative petitions to amend the constitution;
• Require a majority of voters in each congressional district to approve initiative petitions to amend the constitution; and
• Make available to each voter the full text of initiative petitions with their ballot?
The Department of Corrections estimates increased annual costs of up to $21,817. The Office of State Public Defender estimates an unknown fiscal impact. Other state governmental entities estimate no costs or savings. Local governmental entities estimate no costs or savings.
YESNO
In plain English
Today, if citizens gather signatures and put an amendment on the ballot, it passes with a simple statewide majority — more yes votes than no votes.
Amendment 4 would additionally require it to win a majority in each of Missouri's eight congressional districts. Lose one district by a single vote and the measure fails, even if it won statewide in a landslide.
The part you have to see
It applies only to citizen petitions. It does not apply to amendments the legislature puts on the ballot.
None of the four August measures is a citizen initiative: Amendment 1 is an automatic constitutional resubmission, while Amendments 2, 4 and 5 are legislative referrals. Under Amendment 4, those routes would still need only a simple statewide majority. Only the citizen-petition route gets the higher bar.
Analysis cited by the Missouri Independent found that Medicaid expansion, marijuana legalization, sales tax caps, and the 2024 abortion measure would all have failed under this rule — even though each won statewide.
The case for
Missouri's constitution is unusually easy to amend, and it has filled with policy that arguably belongs in ordinary law where mistakes can be fixed. Requiring broad geographic support means rural Missouri can't be steamrolled by St. Louis and Kansas City turnout — the same logic behind the U.S. Senate. Supporters also point to out-of-state money bankrolling petition drives. And it adds a real transparency win: you'd receive the full text of any petition with your ballot.
The case against
It's one-sided by design. If the concern were genuinely that the constitution is too easy to amend, the higher bar would apply to the legislature's own amendments too. It doesn't. The body that wrote this rule is the same body citizens use petitions to go around — and it exempted itself. Current Missouri law already criminalizes petition-signature fraud. Amendment 4 would place a class A misdemeanor provision in the constitution; the amendment itself does not state a dollar fine.
The catch — and this one is documented
The legislature's original ballot summary led with foreign campaign spending, petition fraud, and public hearings. A judge ordered all of it stripped out in March 2026, ruling that it largely restated existing law and did not reveal what the measure actually does.
The wording in the yellow box above is what a court forced onto the ballot. It is not what lawmakers wanted you to read.
Questions to ask yourself
Do I want the rural-veto protection enough to accept that the legislature exempted itself from it?
If this passes, what's my realistic path to changing state policy when the legislature won't?
5Constitutional Amendment · the biggest item
Phasing out the state income tax
Constitutional Amendment No. 5
Proposed by 103rd General Assembly (Second Regular Session) SS SCS HCS HJR Nos. 173 & 174
Shall the Missouri Constitution be amended to:
• Require legislative phase-out of the individual state income tax based on revenue growth, and authorize the expansion of sales and use taxes;
• Curtail constitutional limits on taxing goods and services; and
• Require local tax rate cuts without reducing school funding if local sales tax revenue increases?
The proposal has no direct impact on state or local tax revenue. If passed, implementing legislation will have an unknown impact to state and local tax revenue. If implemented, state government entities expect a reduction of $57,000 annually in income tax check-off donations and implementation costs of at least $100,000.
YESNO
In plain English
Missouri's income tax is graduated from 2% up to a top rate of 4.7%, and supplies roughly two-thirds of the state's general revenue. Amendment 5 does three things:
Orders the legislature to shrink the income tax as state revenue grows, until it's gone.
Once it's gone, the constitution forbids ever bringing it back.
Allows the legislature to expand sales and use taxes to new goods and services while loosening current constitutional limits on what can be taxed.
The guardrails written in: an expansion or rate increase must be in the same legislation as an income-tax reduction that reduces revenue by at least a substantially equal amount. The five-year provision in the amendment is not a deadline for expanding sales taxes; it exempts qualifying legislation enacted during that period from specified constitutional revenue limits.
Three things that aren't on the ballot
One — it's a one-way door. Once the income tax is eliminated, the constitution bars reinstating it. If the replacement doesn't work, or a recession hits, or the math was wrong, there is no going back. Nothing on your ballot tells you this.
Two — the plan doesn't exist yet. You aren't voting on a tax swap. You're voting to instruct the legislature to design one later. Which services get taxed — labor, repairs, haircuts, childcare, contracting, professional fees — is entirely undecided.
Three — read the fiscal note in the yellow box above."Unknown impact." That is the official fiscal analysis of a measure aimed at two-thirds of the state budget.
The case for
Competitiveness. Texas, Florida and Tennessee have no income tax and pull in businesses and workers. Missouri competes with them for both.
Taxing work vs. taxing spending. An income tax takes its cut before you decide anything; a consumption tax only hits when you buy. Rep. Bishop Davidson calls the income tax "a penalty on being productive, a penalty on being creative, a penalty on working hard."
It's already worked once. Missouri cut its top rate from 6% to 4.7% in recent years and revenue kept growing.
It's gradual and conditional — tied to revenue growth rather than a hard date, so in theory it only proceeds when the state can afford it. And the revenue-neutral requirement is written into the amendment, not merely promised.
The case against
Sales taxes hit lower incomes harder. A household spending every dollar it earns pays sales tax on nearly all of its income. One saving a third of its income doesn't. That's arithmetic, not ideology.
The Missouri Budget Project projects roughly 80% of households would pay more overall. (They lean left — weigh it accordingly, but the analysis is public.)
The scale. By one analysis, replacing the revenue through rate alone would take the state's general-revenue sales tax portion from 3% to 10.7% — or expand the taxable base dramatically instead.
"Revenue neutral" describes the state's books, not yours. A swap can be perfectly neutral for the treasury while moving thousands of dollars of burden between households.
Why this lands differently in Butler County
This is where statewide coverage stops being useful to us.
U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts, 2020–2024
Figure
Butler County median household income
$49,089
Poplar Bluff median household income
$41,941
Poplar Bluff poverty rate
20.8%
A shift from taxing income to taxing spending lands hardest where households spend most of what they make. That describes Butler County more than it describes the St. Louis suburbs. The Missouri Budget Project's own example is a single parent earning $25,000 who pays no state income tax today — so gains nothing from repeal — but would pay more for groceries, gas, childcare and car repairs.
If you're retired, read this part twice
For taxpayers age 62 and older — and for disability benefits regardless of age — Missouri no longer taxes Social Security benefits to the extent they are included in federal adjusted gross income. Retirees may still owe Missouri income tax on pensions, IRA withdrawals, wages or other taxable income.
Someone whose taxable income is almost entirely exempt Social Security may receive little direct benefit from eliminating the income tax, while a retiree with other taxable income could benefit. The effect of any future sales-tax expansion would depend on legislation that does not yet exist.
None of that makes the measure wrong. It makes it a different measure for us than for a two-earner household in Chesterfield — and no ad you see will mention that.
The catch — documented in court
The Missouri Court of Appeals ruled that both the ballot summary and the "fair ballot language" failed to inform voters of the measure's key impacts, and rewrote them. The Missouri Supreme Court declined to hear the appeal.
Look at the yellow box again. The phrases "and authorize the expansion of sales and use taxes" and "Curtail constitutional limits on taxing goods and services" are on your ballot only because a court put them there. The legislature's version described phasing out the income tax and left the sales tax expansion out.
The part you'd most want to know is the part that had to be added by judicial order.
Follow the money
Side
Money
Where it came from
For
$9.6M raised $3.3M spent reported by mid-July
Missouri Promise PAC. Top donors: $1.9M from Missouri Promise Inc., a Delaware nonprofit that does not have to disclose its donors, and $1.5M from Secure Missouri, a Missouri nonprofit formed last year.
Against
~$1.9M
Almost entirely a single $1,900,001 contribution from the Missouri Realtors PAC — who have their own stake, since taxing services could raise the cost of real estate transactions.
Be fair about this: both sides are big money with interests. The Realtors are not neutral civic actors. Media reports based on Missouri Ethics Commission filings available in early and mid-July reported the amounts above; later filings may change the totals. The largest disclosed donor on the supporting side is a Delaware nonprofit whose underlying donors are not publicly disclosed.
Questions to ask yourself
Am I comfortable voting yes on a tax plan whose details don't exist yet?
Do I earn enough that a lower income tax outweighs paying sales tax on services I currently don't?
If I'm on Social Security or a fixed income — what exactly do I gain here?
Am I comfortable that this can never be undone?
$Local property tax question
East Carter County R-II — "Keeping Redbirds Strong"
Does this apply to you?
Only if you live in the East Carter County R-II School District — the portion of Butler County inside that district, which is based in Ellsinore. If you don't, this won't appear on your ballot at all.
What it does
Raises the district's operating tax levy from $2.7500 to $3.4300 per $100 of assessed valuation.
A $0.68 increase — about 25%
Stated purpose: attracting and retaining certified and support staff, and general operating expenses
Applies to Tax Year 2026 "and each year thereafter" — permanent, no expiration
What it would cost you
$194
Added property tax per year · assessed value $28,500
Formula: (appraised value × assessment ratio ÷ 100) × 0.68. Check it against the assessed value on your own assessment notice or tax bill.
The case for
Rural districts genuinely struggle to compete on teacher pay, and staff turnover is a real cost to kids. An operating levy is the main tool a district has, and $2.75 sits at the lower end for Missouri districts.
The case against
It's permanent with no sunset clause, and 25% is a substantial jump in one step. "General operating expenses" is broad language — it doesn't commit the money to salaries specifically.
One honest gap
I did not find an official district explanation or local reporting in the sources reviewed that explains the shortfall, what happens if the measure fails, or how much would go to salaries versus other operating costs.
If this is on your ballot, call the district at 573-322-5625 and ask directly. That one phone call will tell you more than anything online.
And notice: "Keeping Redbirds Strong" is a name the district chose for its own proposition. It tells you nothing about $0.68. Districts are allowed to brand these. Read past the title.
≤4Up to four contested Republican races
Where your vote decides something
On Republican ballot styles in the 152nd District, four of thirteen candidate races are contested: state auditor, U.S. House, state representative and recorder of deeds. In the 150th District, the state-representative candidate is unopposed, leaving three contested Republican races. Recorder of deeds is the only contested county office. Independent and write-in filing deadlines mean unopposed primary candidates should not yet be described as guaranteed general-election winners.
Contested — Republican ballot
U.S. Representative, 8th DistrictJason T. Smith · Gordon HeslopSmith is the incumbent and chairs House Ways & Means, with $5.16 million cash on hand through June 30. Heslop is a retired accounting professor from Rolla who reported about $70,600 in receipts through July 15.
State AuditorScott Fitzpatrick · Gerald "Jerry" Wistrand Jr.Fitzpatrick is the incumbent.
State Representative, 152nd DistrictJeff Shawan · Ken DavisThis contest appears only on ballot styles for precincts within the 152nd District.
Recorder of DeedsLisa Larmie · Travis GowenThis is the only contested county-office race on the Republican ballot. Little public information was found about the candidates, so direct local questions matter.
Unopposed in the Republican primary
Presiding Commissioner (Vince Lampe) · Circuit Clerk (Holly Lawson) · County Clerk (Donna Hillis) · Prosecuting Attorney (Ted Liszewski) · Collector of Revenue (Emily Parks) · Treasurer (Tammy Marler) · Circuit Judge, 36th Circuit (Kacey L. Proctor) · Associate Circuit Judge Div. 2 (Wade Pierce) · Associate Circuit Judge Div. 3 (John H. Shock). Some precincts vote the 150th District instead of the 152nd — Cameron Bunting Parker, unopposed.
Other ballots
Ballot
Races
Democratic
State Auditor: Quentin Wilson · Gregory Upchurch U.S. Rep 8th: Chris Reichard · Frank A. Barnitz State Rep 152nd: Corretta Bishop (unopposed)
Libertarian
State Auditor: Dustin Coffell U.S. Rep 8th: Rebecca Sharpe Lombard
✓Reusable
How to read a ballot measure without getting played
This works on every Missouri ballot from here on.
Read the fine print under the title first. It tells you who put it on the ballot. "Proposed by 103rd General Assembly" means the legislature referred it. "Second Extraordinary Session" means a special session. "Proposed by Article IV, Section 47(c)" means the constitution required it.
Read the fiscal note, then notice what it dodges. On a measure targeting two-thirds of the state budget, "unknown" is the entire story.
Ask whether a court rewrote the language. Compare the legislature's version, the court order and the final certified wording; the differences can reveal material effects omitted from the original summary.
Ask what it exempts. Exemptions and different standards can materially change a measure's scope.
Follow the money — and be fair. Check both sides, the reporting period and the original filing. If a nonprofit donor does not disclose its underlying funders, say that precisely; the opposing side may have interests too.
Ask if it can be undone. Reversibility is its own category of risk, separate from whether the policy is good.
☐Before Tuesday
Things worth doing first
Decide which ballot you're requesting — county offices only appear on the Republican one.
Confirm your polling place.
If the school levy is on your ballot, call East Carter R-II at 573-322-5625 and ask what happens if it fails.
If you are in the 152nd District, ask about Shawan vs. Davis. All Republican voters can ask about Larmie vs. Gowen. Public information on both local contests is limited.
For Amendment 5, remember that no implementing sales-tax rate or list of newly taxable services exists yet.
Bring a photo ID. Missouri requires one; without it you may cast a provisional ballot.
Missouri lets you bring notes into the booth. Take this with you.